After a little over two years, the yield curve is back to normal. That is to say, interest rates on longer-term bonds are once again higher than the interest rates of shorter-term bonds like two-year ...

While many investors understand the correlation between the inverted yield curve and a recession what is less known is that “when the curve starts to steepen again following an inversion that ...

For the first time since 2007, the short end of the yield curve inverted, and the longer-term end is not far behind. Bloomberg calls this signal a ‘harbinger of doom.’ Is that fear mongering or is it ...

Many are concerned that a deeply inverted yield curve signals a recession. When we look at the current yield curve, we see an opportunity to add exposure to fixed income. The most direct implication ...

The current streak of negative 2-year/10-year Treasury spreads has reached 243 trading days, the third longest streak in the period 1976-2023. The probability that the streak continues through ...

The inverted yield curve is one of the more reliable recession indicators. I discussed it at length last December. At that point, we had not yet seen a full inversion. Now we have, and it appears the ...

Daniel Liberto is a journalist with over 10 years of experience working with publications such as the Financial Times, The Independent, and Investors Chronicle. Michael Boyle is an experienced ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...