The collapse of Canada’s minor parties accounts for some of this local-level volatility. The left-wing New Democratic Party fell from 18% of the vote to 6%. The right-wing People’s Party dropped from 5% to 1%.

Pierre Poilievre’s Conservative Party saw pre-election polling momentum stall amid the trade war with the U.S. and Trump's "51st state" taunts.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney’s Liberals staged a major political comeback to retain power in parliamentary elections, fuelled by a backlash against U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariffs and comments on making Canada the 51st U.