So if you take the polls at face value, we’re seeing a blue wave that’s … overwhelmingly concentrated in red states. As I wrote, there’s a coherent story behind it. And the evidence for it has been ...

Assuming we’re in a roughly neutral political environment doesn’t make sense given the history of the midterms, $4.50 gas or Trump’s dismal approval ratings.

Inflation in fuel prices is much higher in diesel-heavy farm states — which happen to coincide with competitive Senate races.

But mostly, they were extremely persistent, a word used multiple times in OpenAI’s own account of the incident. Like the ...

They have massive amounts of outside spending, but their candidates are consistently being outraised by Democrats.

Among Americans overall, 63 percent say there’s at least a “moderate risk” of AI destroying humanity, versus just 22 percent ...

No, I’m not sure why the NFL is starting its season on a Wednesday. But I won’t complain because it should be a hell of a lot more fun than watching the Republican midterm convention. The NFL is back ...

The first official episode of Still Counting is out! Clare, Galen, and I discussed the most competitive Senate races, the GOP’s first-ever midterm convention, Trump’s standing within the Republican ...

I teased this last week, but I wanted to officially share the good news that I’m starting a podcast with my former FiveThirtyEight colleagues Galen Druke and Clare Malone. The podcast, Still Counting, ...