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Gold has surged to a fresh all-time high above $4,660/oz, climbing more than 1% as markets react to new US tariff threats against Europe. Rising trade tensions, political uncertainty, and renewed concerns around Fed independence have reignited aggressive safe-haven demand. With tariffs set to kick in from February and the risk of escalation still on the table, investors are positioning for volatility. Gold’s strong momentum this year continues to be fuelled by geopolitical risk and expectations

The Australian dollar is pushing toward its strongest level since January 2023, trading near $0.691 as higher yields and a hawkish RBA outlook fuel demand. Aussie government bond yields are climbing, with 3-year yields at their highest since November, backed by Australia’s top-tier credit rating and growing confidence in further rate hikes. Stronger local data has added momentum, with unemployment unexpectedly falling to a 7-month low, reinforcing the rates story. Now, all eyes turn to inflation

Australia’s economic momentum just gave the AUD a fresh tailwind. The Composite PMI jumped to 55.5 in January, its strongest reading since April 2022, confirming expansion for a 16th straight month. Services led the charge, manufacturing stayed firmly in growth, and export orders hit their fastest pace in more than three years. Stronger demand and resilient business sentiment have markets repricing RBA expectations fast. The odds of a 25bp rate hike in February surged to 54%, with a move now ful